Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 8.442624e-05 0.000100 0.000117 0.000137 0.000158 0.000181 0.000207
2025-01-19 6.610277e-05 0.000087 0.000111 0.000140 0.000173 0.000211 0.000255
2025-01-26 5.216846e-05 0.000074 0.000101 0.000135 0.000175 0.000222 0.000278
2025-02-02 4.339006e-05 0.000067 0.000097 0.000136 0.000184 0.000240 0.000311
2025-02-09 3.638331e-05 0.000060 0.000092 0.000134 0.000188 0.000253 0.000335
2025-02-16 3.262533e-05 0.000058 0.000092 0.000139 0.000201 0.000276 0.000372
2025-02-23 2.845930e-05 0.000054 0.000090 0.000140 0.000208 0.000291 0.000400
2025-03-02 2.284793e-05 0.000047 0.000083 0.000135 0.000206 0.000296 0.000414
2025-03-09 1.906267e-05 0.000043 0.000079 0.000133 0.000208 0.000304 0.000433
2025-03-16 1.620304e-05 0.000039 0.000076 0.000132 0.000212 0.000316 0.000455
2025-03-23 1.419717e-05 0.000037 0.000074 0.000133 0.000218 0.000330 0.000481
2025-03-30 1.194235e-05 0.000034 0.000071 0.000132 0.000221 0.000339 0.000501
2025-04-06 9.287662e-06 0.000030 0.000066 0.000128 0.000221 0.000345 0.000519
2025-04-13 8.126971e-06 0.000028 0.000066 0.000132 0.000230 0.000365 0.000554
2025-04-20 6.066673e-06 0.000024 0.000061 0.000127 0.000228 0.000369 0.000568
2025-04-27 5.013156e-06 0.000023 0.000060 0.000127 0.000234 0.000383 0.000596
2025-05-04 3.957346e-06 0.000020 0.000057 0.000126 0.000237 0.000393 0.000619
2025-05-11 3.571832e-06 0.000020 0.000058 0.000131 0.000248 0.000416 0.000659
2025-05-18 2.952633e-06 0.000019 0.000057 0.000132 0.000255 0.000431 0.000689
2025-05-25 2.027219e-06 0.000016 0.000053 0.000127 0.000251 0.000432 0.000699
2025-06-01 1.465981e-06 0.000014 0.000050 0.000125 0.000252 0.000439 0.000717
2025-06-08 1.088014e-06 0.000013 0.000048 0.000124 0.000255 0.000450 0.000741
2025-06-15 8.493287e-07 0.000012 0.000048 0.000125 0.000261 0.000465 0.000770